HawgBeat - Scouting Report: Analyzing the Duke Blue Devils
HawgBeat takes a deep dive into the analytics for Arkansas' opponent on Wednesday: the Duke Blue Devils
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The Arkansas Razorbacks (4-3) will face off against the No. 7 Duke Blue Devils (5-1) as part of the ACC/SEC Challenge on Wednesday inside Bud Walton Arena in Fayetteville.
Led by second-year head coach Jon Scheyer, the Blue Devils finished the 2022-23 season with a 27-9 (14-6 ACC) record and lost to Tennessee in the Round of 32 in the NCAA Tournament.
Heading into the season, the Blue Devils were selected to finish first in the ACC by the league's media. Duke had two players selected to a preseason all-conference squad in center Kyle Filipowski and guard Tyrese Proctor. Filipowski was also selected as the ACC Preseason Player of the Year.
Duke has won four straight games — including a victory over Michigan State — after losing a hard-fought battle against No. 12 Arizona on Nov. 10.
Arkansas is coming off of a 1-2 performance in the Battle 4 Atlantis Tournament that saw the Hogs defeat Stanford before losing to Memphis and No. 14 North Carolina last Wednesday-Friday.
Head Hog Eric Musselman gave fans a good preview of what to expect against the Blue Devils.
"You look at this team and their center [Kyle Filipowski] is a lottery pick," Musselman said Monday. "[Tyrece] Proctor, one of their guards slash wings is a lottery pick. So we’re playing against two lottery picks. And No. 1, [Caleb] Foster is an early Mid-20 type pick based on mock drafts. So we’re playing against three draft picks that’ll all probably happen before 20.
"So we’re playing against a really good basketball team with some guys that made a decision to come back and play college basketball. They’ve got some guys on their team that would have been first-round picks last year. And they came back to get better."
Here's a closer look into Duke's stats, efficiency ratings, projected lineups and more ahead of Wednesday's game, which is set to tipoff at 8:15 p.m. CT on ESPN:
Duke statistical rankings (per game)
~ Scoring offense: 87.5 (35th nationally)
~ Scoring defense: 64.0 points allowed (t-68th nationally)
~ Assists: 17.0 (54th nationally)
~ Field goal percentage: 51.2% (46th nationally)
~ 3-point percentage: 35.0% (143rd nationally)
~ Free throw percentage: 64.6% (269th nationally)
~ Rebounds: 40.0 (65th nationally)
~ Blocks: 3.5 (120th nationally)
~ Steals: 4.0 (288th nationally)
Duke projected starting five
#5 - G Tyrese Proctor - So., 6'5", 183 lbs.
Stats per game: 31.8 min, 12.5 points, 3.5 rebounds, 5.7 assists, 0.8 steals, 1.2 turnovers, 0.2 blocks, 49.1 fg%, 35.7 3fg%
#3 - G Jeremy Roach - Sr., 6'2", 180 lbs.
Stats per game: 31.0 min, 11.5 points, 1.5 rebounds, 2.3 assists, 0.8 steals, 1.3 turnovers, 47.3 fg%, 40.0 3fg%
#0 - G Jared McCain - Fr., 6' 3”, 197 lbs.
Stats per game: 22.5 min, 8.3 points, 3.7 rebounds, 1.8 assists, 1.0 steals, 1.3 turnovers, 41.5 fg%, 46.2 3fg%
#30 - C Kyle Filipowski - So., 7'0", 248 lbs.
Stats per game: 26.7 min, 18.8 points, 8.0 rebounds, 2.0 assists, 1.2 steals, 1.0 turnovers, 1.7 blocks, 56.0 fg%, 33.3 3fg%
#25 - F Mark Mitchell - So., 6'9", 232 lbs.
Stats per game: 25.2 min, 12.0 points, 5.2 rebounds, 1.4 assists, 0.6 steals, 1.4 turnovers, 0.6 blocks, 55.3 fg%, 11.1 3fg%
2023-24 KenPom efficiency ratings comparison (out of 363 teams)
Duke
~ Adjusted offensive efficiency: 118.2 points per 100 possessions (9th)
~ Adjusted defensive efficiency: 94.7 points per 100 possessions (29th)
~ Effective field goal percentage: 57.3% (18th)
~ Turnover percentage: 13.2% (18th)
~ Offensive rebounding percentage: 29.6% (181st)
~ Free throw rate: 32.3% (198th)
~ Adjusted tempo: 69.2 possessions per 40 minutes (168th)
~ Average offensive possession length: 16.4 seconds (107th)
~ Average defensive possession length: 18.4 seconds (325th)
Arkansas
~ Adjusted offensive efficiency: 112.6 points per 100 possessions (39th)
~ Adjusted defensive efficiency: 98.2 points per 100 possessions (59th)
~ Effective field goal percentage: 51.0% (145th)
~ Turnover percentage: 16.2% (97th)
~ Offensive rebounding percentage: 29.9% (173rd)
~ Free throw rate: 48.8% (13th)
~ Adjusted tempo: 70.1 possessions per 40 minutes (127th)
~ Average offensive possession length: 16.9 seconds (159th)
~ Average defensive possession length: 16.7 seconds (107th)
*Click here for an explanation on what each rating takes into account.
EvanMiya analytics comparison (out of 363 teams)
EvanMiya Analytics
| Category | Duke | Arkansas |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Rank | 7 | 50 |
| Roster Rank | 7 | 53 |
| Offensive Rank | 6 | 44 |
| Defensive Rank | 29 | 70 |
| Injury Rank (ranking after accounting for injuries) | 7 | 49 |
| Tempo Rank: | 265 | 119 |
