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Hoops ShotQuality matchup: Arkansas vs Duke

jacksoncollier

Hawgbert Financial Expert
Staff
Dec 22, 2018
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59,152
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Little Rock, AR

Arkansas is set to take on the No. 7 Duke Blue Devils inside a sold-out Bud Walton Arena on Wednesday night in Fayetteville.

The Razorbacks have had a slow start to the season, but are looking to get back on track in front of a raucous crowd after losing three of their last four. Arkansas head coach Eric Musselman will be matchup against Duke for the second time, with the first time being a loss in the 2022 Elite Eight.

HawgBeat has partnered with ShotQuality.com to provide in-depth analysis and statistics of team tendencies and trends. Fans can sign up for Shot Quality using promo code JCHOOPS for 10% off their first month.

Here is how the Razorbacks and Blue Devils stack up against each other:

Predicted score:​


ShotQuality predicts Duke to defeat the Razorbacks 74-72, with a specific predicted final score of 73.7 - 72.2. The Razorbacks have a 45% chance of winning the game according to the site.

Matchup stats:​


Defense, particularly transition defense has been an issue all season for Arkansas. Duke, on the other hand, has been very good offensively.

Entering Wednesday, Arkansas is allowing 1.19 points per possession in transition, ranking No. 92 nationally. Teams are getting out in transition on 12% of their possessions against the Razorbacks, ranking 103rd nationally.

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