Congrats Joe Biden!!! #46 President of the United States!
- Thread starter mcbmd
- Start date
I don’t think he could lose NC/GA. But if he wins PA, I’d be really surprised if he lost either.
Crap - yeah thanks for catching that error. Had Trump winning CO and NM too, which ain't gonna happen.
Another Mod deleting my comments to their gaffes. Two days in a row. NO SPINE!!!
Are those the vote tallies are simply the number of voters by party affiliation?
Regardless. Still not good for Biden. As Republicans are only going to continue running up the numbers for the rest of today.
You’ve gotta be right. It has to be affiliation. No chance that big of a percentage isn’t voting either side
Voted for French hill because he has a smoking hot daughter. Whenever we meet we’ll have something to talk about
Yeah, that’s a lot. From other polls, it’s varied from 5-10 points to the dem side regardless of state. However, that wouldn’t be near enough for Florida if those numbers are indeed accurate.
Interesting part about that tweet, Hoov, is the missing election day votes. Miami/Dade county cast 1 million ballots in the 2016 election with 2/3 for Hillary and 1/3 for Trump. The other 7 counties combine for about half that total. All 7 voted Republican by an average of 58% to 37%.
If you take out the early and absentee voting (which you obviously can't do because there are definite party differences in choosing to vote early vs. on election day), that would be 666,667 democratic votes from Miami/Dade vs. 290,000 republican votes from the other missing counties.
Red votes from Miami/Dade 333,333 and blue votes from the other seven counties 185,000.
So (again simplifying w/o mail in differences) = 851,667 blue votes and 623,333 red votes from the missing counties.
So, regardless, you are missing a LOT of election day voting results which could change that number a fair amount.
C'mon!! That was obviously a very stupid oversight on my part. Didn't wanna confuse people!!
I’ve flip flopped between who I think wins, but man I’ve seen so much positivity and momentum from the Pubs that I just haven’t seen from the Dems. Probably just a side effect of living in a red state and my social media having a right lean, but still. I’ve just got a vibe that Trump wins big
This is definitely the more telling tweet. I am assuming this guy means Broward, Palm Beach, Orange, and Hillsborough (since Miami/Dade not available). Also I don't know if he's commenting on just election day votes or if it counts mail ins. Hillary won Broward 553,000 to 261,000 in 2016.
From the Reddits FWIW
PSA: Please downvote any posts that say a candidate is or is not up in Florida until tonight. Misinformation is being spread.
All that anyone has is party return rate. A party registration is NOT a vote for the party. That number tells us nothing and ignore the 25%+ of ballots that are independent.
NO EARLY VOTES HAVE BEEN ANNOUNCED YET and will not until after 7pm EST.
Feel free to repost this throughout the day
PSA: Please downvote any posts that say a candidate is or is not up in Florida until tonight. Misinformation is being spread.
All that anyone has is party return rate. A party registration is NOT a vote for the party. That number tells us nothing and ignore the 25%+ of ballots that are independent.
NO EARLY VOTES HAVE BEEN ANNOUNCED YET and will not until after 7pm EST.
Feel free to repost this throughout the day
If you'd look above Tulsa helped point out that this was just turnout for registered party affiliates.
This is exactly how it's done.
Don't worry guys, I've got my bucket ready to catch all the Trump tears.
And I'll be in meetings all day so I won't be able to keep track of the thread. You fellas have a good day!
And I'll be in meetings all day so I won't be able to keep track of the thread. You fellas have a good day!
It’s true and it’s not true. RV are voting 90/10 for their party’s nominee.
The only way it won’t be indicative is if the independent vote is insanely one sided.
Trump looks like he’s going to win by 3+ points in Fla.
This is a good question because I’ve seen the line change at my book this morning in favor of Biden (super small change from -160 to -180).
