Congrats Joe Biden!!! #46 President of the United States!
- Thread starter mcbmd
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Oh absolutely I would. Sorry for the confusion
I have to buy that book again. Chick in the office asked this morning, "who the hell bought a book about joe biden on the company's Amazon?" hahaha
Lot of time to go, but she does have the second best odds to win in 2024, behind Joe, right now on mybookie.
I don't want to pull a D response when Trump ran, but I think she would get killed. Her base is 18-30 yos who make up approximately 30% of the voting base...Even if she get's 90% of those, she'd need to grab roughly 40 MM votes from people who hate her platform.
no, no, no. You can't run the narrative of count all of the votes and then call it once your guy takes the lead. That would be irresponsible
I don’t really trust those lines on mybookie right now cause the first republican isn’t till Ted Cruz at +1200.
Ol Tommy Cotton right behind at +1500.
Personally I’m putting some money on +5000 Mark Cuban.
Not to mention Elon Musk is a option too. Fvckin idiots
CNN in every single one of the battleground states has been saying we must count every single last vote. To call it once Biden is ahead would be extremely hypocritical. Obviously I understand that many states were called before all of the votes were counted, but the rhetoric that news stations are using of count all the votes would lose all credibility calling every state at this point even though the direction is obvious. You have to understand that a large percentage of our population is stupid and will lose their shit if they do that.
Of course you have to count every single last vote. They can still call it for either candidate though, if they see there's no way the other can catch up, while continuing to count all of the votes. Happens every election. Calling it doesn't make it official, so it's not like them calling it early would really matter other than letting people move on.
This election was a whitelash of the establishment and a clear infringement on the rights of the disenfranchised BIPOC community...
Am I doing it right?
Following their spouses lead I suppose? Since (white) men tend to lean more conservative
Smells like bÎtch in here with our fellow married men.
He didn’t lie when he said he got their husbands back to work.
Hey we just want to get back to brunch Jason
Ben needs to wife up @nikkichavanelle so she can develop a new appreciation for America first economic policies and family values.
That was so cringey...
But I will say, House R's had something like 20 women in new roles...it's clear where they're pushing the narrative.
Maybe, but if this was 2019 Arkansas, and it was 50-3 against Bama at halftime... you'd call that game for Alabama.
There really is a Trump tweet for everything.
That is quite funny...again, if D's are good with calling all the house races I think the Don should as well.
- May 11, 2002
- 34,292
- 33,978
- 113
Sure but it’s not 50-3. It’s 14-13. Is Alabama still going to win? Sure. I’ve already switched the channel. But you underestimate the stupidity of the American people. Any reasonable person knows it’s over. That’s not the point I’m trying to make. If you call it in those battleground states right now and announce Biden as the president while he only has a lead of a couple thousand in PA and Georgia, trump supporters will lose their shit!
DO IT! Give the Rs plus +21!! For reference, 538 gave the R's a 5.8% chance of doing this well or better.
For data nerds like me, your p-value helps you determine the significance of your results. Generally, that p-value is 0.05 to allow for 2.5% on each end of the bell curve. Anything beyond that number, it's basically telling you that you're hypothesis is complete shit and you may need to reassess...538 was nearly 2 standard deviations off...
Basically, polling is shit.
It feels like maybe they’re gonna do that anyway.
We got a S/O from Chevrolet herself:
I agree with that as well, but you don’t have to throw gasoline on a fire. Let it smolder out a little bit, let the idiots calm themselves and then announce it.
I knew she was watching it the whole time...
I give her shit, but I can only imagine how much she wanted to say. Hard position to be in to basically have to remain silent to try and not lose some fringe subscriber because he thinks you're REEEE.
- May 11, 2002
- 34,292
- 33,978
- 113
I feel like they are going to lose their shit regardless. Not all of them, but the fringe types won't care.
Agree to an extent.
I think you'll see some psycho with a cut off T yelling "qanon" at a CNN field reporter...
But I don't think you'll see Houston on fire...Atlanta on fire....Miami on fire...etc.
The D fringe is substantially larger than the R fringe at the moment. I honestly don't think that's debatable? Right?
Trump out performed polling similar to 2016. Only difference is that Hillary was +3/4 and Biden was +6/7 (give or take). It truly was a rising tide lifts all boats scenario.
It may not have given Trump the presidency, but it definitely lifted a lot of toss up races in their favor.
But, like our voting system, polling needs a complete and total overhaul.
I'd just clown her ass all the way back to Weenie Hut Jr where she belongs!
- May 11, 2002
- 34,292
- 33,978
- 113
It was so much worse than that, amigo.
Michigan +10 for Biden on 11/1
Michigan +12 for Biden (CNN) on 10/31
Wisconsin +10 for Biden (University of Wisconsin on 10/26
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