Ole Miss (-1.5) at Arkansas
Michael: All of a sudden, after exposing Alabama’s defense last weekend in Oxford, Ole Miss is the darling of the SEC. The Rebel offense has been outstanding all season, but guess who practices against a very similar scheme each week in practice? Barry Odom’s Arkansas defense. Now, that doesn’t mean the Razorbacks are going to completely shut down Matt Corral and company but I bet they perform better than expected in this matchup. Feleipe Franks is playing some of the best football of his career right now for Kendal Briles and players like Trelon Smith and De’Vion Warren have emerged in the offense. Don’t be stunned if the better offense in this game comes from the home sideline. After Ole Miss had the game of its life on offense last weekend, I anticipate a bit of a let down in this one.
Arkansas 42 Ole Miss 33
Chris: This is another game where the line may have been skewed by recency bias. It’s also lowkey one of the best matchups of the week. Ole Miss was dangerously close to pulling off the upset vs Alabama last weekend, and has one of the most explosive offenses in the country. Arkansas, should be 2-1 and has one of the most improved teams, and defenses, in the country.
Kiffin has been really good against the spread covering in 12 of his last 17 as a head coach, and Sam Pittman’s squad is 3-0 ATS this season as well. Arkansas has covered in 6 of the last 7 between these schools, and I am very worried about their 11th ranked rush defense in the conference against this Ole Miss attack. I’m also worried about how much the Hogs can score to keep pace with Matt Corral and Lane Kiffin’s offense. But, not as much as I’m worried about who from Ole Miss is even making the trip due to the recent COVID issues they’ve had in Oxford. Feleipe Franks has completed 72% of his passes with 6 TDs and 0 INTs the last 2 games. I’m taking the Hogs at home and couldn’t be less confident.
Arkansas 34 Ole Miss 33